Its odd (perhaps worrying?) that every constituency break-down that I've looked at (admitted not loads, just where friends/family live) that has swung from Conservative to Labour, it's the Reform vote that has swung it - i.e. add the Reform votes to Conservative and they would have won.
I'm in a "safe" Labour seat, but Reform came second with just about the same number (a few 100 more) as Conservative (still not enough Reform + Tory to beat Labour though).
Interesting times ahead, but optimistic ones!
I think that was, to some extent, always going to be the case, if not reform, then LD or Green. There are staunch tories out there who were never going to vote labour, but wanted to register their disgust at the way the Conservative party has behaved over the last 5 years.
One of the things they’ve been disillusioned by is the conservative party’s move towards centre left politics, at least in their eyes. So a centre right / far right party was the natural replacement I guess.
What is more worrying, is in the Northern constituencies, where despite winning, Labours vote share has fallen, as Reform have actually taken some of Labour’s voters too. To be fair, this was also predictable to some extent. And thankfully, doesn’t seem to have been as widespread and severe, across all constituencies, as I’d feared it was becoming when I had my rant last night.
My own constituency, Amber Valley, which I’ve always known has more than it’s fair share of racists and fascists (look up the history of Heanor and the NF!) Only just escaped a reform MP, but thankfully Labour has not lost voter share to Reform here, as I’d feared. They actually gained a fair few % points, and we are no longer a tory constituency, we have now elected a Labour MP.
All’s well that ends well.
I tried to use my words carefully (and not say 'woke') so as not to sound like a total arsehole, but I like to think my anti-PC stance is fairly well recognised around here
For the record, that was the page of the manifesto that would have lost me - I still think leaving the EU was a huge mistake, so it's not to do with that - and I do know of people who voted to leave simply because they forgot we're a small island where industry has all but been wiped out - and mistakenly believed we could stand alone and be trusted to think for ourselves. It also doesn't take a genius to see that this master plan of new teachers, doctors, etc. will fall straight on its arse without immigration - especially with the cost of quality education apparently set to soar.
Regarding the other point - this isn't really the time or place, so I'll wait for somebody to word it better than I can
No doubt about it, there's hyperbole floating about online (some seem to think we're waking up to New Islamabad this morning) and I'm certainly better at recognising it than I was. But the mudslinging from the 'good' side doesn't exactly cover them in glory either.
Using the site formerly known as Twitter for anything other than porn was probably my mistake
Thanks for the considered response Will, mine was a bit of a rant last night, apologies. We’ll leave the controversial stuff there and discuss political policy instead.
I’m looking forward to seeing what they can achieve. Immigration isn’t necessarily bad, especially skilled immigration such as Doctors and Nurses. But anybody that works within the NHS can tell you, the tories have been out and out wasting so much money, that there are ways to improve things purely by streamlining things and treating their permanent staff fairly, that could actually SAVE money.
We’re training medical professionals in this country, only for them to become disillusioned, and take their skills abroad, it’s costing us millions!
Next time you’re with Paul, ask him how he and his permanent colleagues at Nottingham are reluctant to do much overtime, due to them being paid a tiny fraction of what the agency staff get paid for overtime… It makes no sense, and is unfair to our good doctors and nurses. At times, their overtime has been taken away, or limited, only to then have countless expensive agency staff on the wards!!! No wonder they’re leaving in their droves.
Improve pay and conditions for NHS staff, and you may attract and keep more permanent staff, eventually leading to less reliance on agency staff, actually paying for itself, to some extent.